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NCT06847100Completed

Artificial Intelligence Models to Predict Clinically Relevant Cardiovascular Outcomes

Development of Artificial Intelligence Models to Predict Intrahospital Atrial Fibrillation and Long-term Coronary Event Recurrence in High-risk Patients: PerCard Study

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Last updated 26 Aug 2025

Brief summary (registry, in English)

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent and clinically relevant problem among the events that may occur during the hospitalization period in patients with cardiovascular disease. AF, indeed, is a determinant or aggravating condition of serious adverse events, such as myocardial infarction, heart failure, and thromboembolic stroke. The occurrence of AF in hospitalized patients, such as those admitted for coronary intervention, results in prolonged length of hospitalization, increased likelihood of discharge on anticoagulants, and increased 30-day risk of bleeding. It is noteworthy that while the incidence of AF in the general population is about 1-2 cases per 1000 people per year, this is much higher in patients hospitalized for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) (about 10% over the hospitalization period) or in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (about 25% over the hospitalization period). Thus, identifying patients at high risk of AF during the hospitalization period could allow experimental testing of the efficacy and safety of preventive interventions (e.g., tailored anesthetic or surgical approaches, drug-prevention, etc.). It can be hypothesized that the clinical and nonclinical variables useful in estimating the risk of AF will change depending on the type of patients and that the identification and integration of these variables will require more complex predictive analysis systems than the regression models classically used to develop risk scores. On the other hand, the risk of recurrence of coronary events throughout the first years after CABG remains high (about 20% at 5 years) despite effective revascularization and early secondary prevention.Although some scores have been developed for estimating the risk of coronary event recurrence in secondary prevention using multivariate regression models, these algorithms consider a limited number of predictors, do not take into account possible interactions between different factors, and their actual predictive ability is not reported in the literature. With advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology together with the rapid development of digital clinical datasets, machine learning has the potential to analyze substantial amounts of data and recognize patterns to predict AF onset and recurrence of coronary events within a defined time horizon (e.g., in-hospital event) in selected populations in a way that improves the predictive ability of conventional methods.

Status (registry)
Completed
Study type
Observational
Enrollment
273 (actual)
First submitted
21 Feb 2025
Start date
6 Feb 2023
Primary completion date
30 Jun 2025
Lead sponsor
Centro Cardiologico Monzino
NCT number
NCT06847100

What you commit to

  • Study type: Observational
  • Participants enrolled: 273
  • From 6 Feb 2023 to the primary completion date, 30 Jun 2025
  • 4 sites in 3 countries
  • Visits and tests: ask the trial team, the registry does not list them

Built from the registry fields of ClinicalTrials.gov. It describes the study, not your situation.

Who cannot take part

Copied verbatim from ClinicalTrials.gov and grouped by topic. Only the trial team decides who can take part.

Other illness

  • any chronic or acute condition that prevents the patient from consciously consenting to the use of his or her personal, clinical, and instrumental data

Other

  • patients already in acute or permanent AF at the time of admission

Who the study is looking for

  • age ≥18 years
  • patient admitted to the Coronary Intensive Care Unit of the CCM for AMI (STEMI or NSTEMI)
  • signature of informed consent to use clinical and instrumental data and, optionally, genetic data specific to the purpose of this study (gene polymorphisms presumably related to the development of AF)

Age in the registry: 18 years to - · Sex: All · Does not accept healthy volunteers

Full criteria on ClinicalTrials.gov

Sites (4)

Sites in registry order. Pick your city on the disease page to sort them by distance.

SiteCityCountrySite status
Protestant University of Apllied Sciences Ludwigsburg
Coordinator of this site? Confirm its status
LudwigsburgGermanyUnknown status
Tampere University
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TampereFinlandUnknown status
Politecnico di Milano
Coordinator of this site? Confirm its status
MilanItalyUnknown status
Centro Cardiologico Monzino
Coordinator of this site? Confirm its status
MilanItalyUnknown status

This page is information, not medical advice. Discuss any trial with your doctor.